Do bulls roar? Do markets roar?
I don't know what to do in this market. I don't understand it.
It scares me.
Too high!
Why is it shooting up today?
Is it a short covering rally? All the people who sold short expecting a May correction are now wildly covering and driving the market up and away?
Or is it reasonable.
Markets have a long way to go now.
We have really had a stagnant market for 10 or 15 years and now markets can double
DOUBLE
and it would not be unreasonable.
What am I doing?
I am scared.
I am sitting with cash. Option premiums are very low.
The odds in my mind favor a continued move up. But there is the fear of a correction or a crash.
Here is how I am thinking
10% continued rapid rise
10% crash
10% correction
20% slow rise
50% nothing to write home about.
Corrections are usually short and bitter.
So sitting in cash I fear I will miss the 30% chance of good gains over the next two years.
I really don't have any good ideas right now.
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